Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-16 1.660808 1.906050 2.179219 2.506795 2.889920 3.324996 3.858143
2025-03-23 1.266186 1.585885 1.978181 2.498242 3.174441 4.030478 5.206702
2025-03-30 1.039708 1.379106 1.823122 2.452873 3.333272 4.535485 6.327423
2025-04-06 0.911684 1.266730 1.756077 2.489857 3.579692 5.166312 7.702447
2025-04-13 0.789897 1.140140 1.644095 2.435695 3.672932 5.575172 8.805007
2025-04-20 0.731457 1.093933 1.636921 2.528069 3.990288 6.359717 10.626555
2025-04-27 0.660500 1.018355 1.573347 2.519569 4.139726 6.889952 12.110049
2025-05-04 0.619128 0.982838 1.566056 2.597819 4.439530 7.712342 14.258518
2025-05-11 0.571466 0.931003 1.524949 2.611127 4.624366 8.354568 16.184595
2025-05-18 0.529857 0.884246 1.486145 2.621635 4.802427 9.006805 18.250848
2025-05-25 0.479861 0.817681 1.405430 2.544778 4.802458 9.310902 19.642552
2025-06-01 0.444870 0.773856 1.360082 2.527714 4.915159 9.855168 21.663424
2025-06-08 0.404552 0.720778 1.300173 2.491449 5.018994 10.474255 24.190123
2025-06-15 0.370601 0.676744 1.254004 2.480687 5.185942 11.290222 27.486522
2025-06-22 0.337344 0.629867 1.195988 2.435740 5.268632 11.929502 30.514983
2025-06-29 0.316672 0.604917 1.177910 2.472435 5.542072 13.078685 35.262438
2025-07-06 0.289662 0.564215 1.122667 2.418694 5.592201 13.684068 38.652981
2025-07-13 0.278515 0.554603 1.131007 2.510351 6.014838 15.350396 45.790943
2025-07-20 0.260077 0.527658 1.098819 2.501917 6.181735 16.363340 51.205849
2025-07-27 0.249980 0.517435 1.102078 2.579558 6.590504 18.159013 59.920637
2025-08-03 0.236085 0.497395 1.080785 2.592762 6.826265 19.503196 67.550821
2025-08-10 0.223235 0.478363 1.059613 2.603188 7.056902 20.891161 75.907969
2025-08-17 0.206135 0.447976 1.008313 2.526930 7.020452 21.417223 81.064984